Reporting season: CBA
David Ellis  |  15/08/2012Text size  Decrease  Increase  |  

Q: Were CBA's earnings above, in line with, or below your expectations?

David Ellis: CBA's 2012 full year result was $7.1 billion net profit after tax, and that was pretty much in line with our expectations and also the market.

Q: Was the dividend above, in line with, or below your expectations?

Ellis: CBA's dividend for 2012 was a real standout. It's a strong point for the bank. It was higher than expected, the final dividend was $1.97 per share, and the full year - the total dividend for the year was $3.34. As I said, the surprise was the increase - the extent of the increase in the dividend, but that also agrees with our thesis, and our thesis with the major banks is that we expect to see increasing dividends with upside potential for each of the four major banks.

Q: What were the key drivers of the result?

Ellis: Well, the key drivers of the result were pretty much the moderate credit growth, strong deposit growth. Cost growth was a little bit higher than expected, but still pretty tightly managed, and there was a reasonable fall or decrease in bad debt expense, which was a little bit higher - the decrease was a little bit higher than what we're expecting, so no major standout driver. There were three or four items that contributed to the solid overall result for the Bank for the year.

Q: Was there anything about the result that surprised you?

Ellis: The result, as I said earlier, was in line with our expectations, and possibly even a little bit higher or in line with consensus, so there was no real standout item within the result. Other than the dividend, which was, as I said was a positive surprise.

At the analyst briefing, again we were pretty impressed with the performance of the new CEO of the bank, Ian Narev. He provides a very confident and comforting leadership style and made it quite clear to the analyst that the bank continues to be conservatively managed, and the management made no apology for that conservatism, and that's one of the reasons why CBA has outperformed over the last six months in particular, and over the last few years as well.

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