Reporting season: Woolworths
Peter Warnes  |  24/08/2012Text size  Decrease  Increase  |  

Q: Were Woolworth�s earnings above, in line with, or below your expectations?

Peter Warnes: The Woolworths' FY '12 result of $2.183 billion from continuing operations, was 2% below our expectations and 2% in nearly $2.5 billion to $2.2 billion is neither here nor there. This is a solid result and there is no need for alarm bells.

Q: Was the dividend above, in line with, or below your expectations?

Warnes: As with the earnings, which were just slightly below our expectations, the dividend was also $0.01 below our expectations at $1.26 a share.  Again, a strong payout of 70%. Strong cash flow, negative working capital will ensure that Woolworths will continue to be a robust payer of dividends and around 70% is likely.

Q: What were the key drivers of the result?

Warnes: Key drivers of the result - a very strong performance in New Zealand and continuing good progress made in the Australian Food and Liquor operations, which is the engine room of the business. Margins there continue to expand up from 7.41% to 7.50%, which is not really Woolworths like. Woolies usually coming with 15% to 20% basis point improvement, so this was a little bit lower than history has shown.

But, with the aggressive rollout of supermarkets, 38 new supermarkets and 20 new Dan Murphy big box stores, that does increase the cost of operation, the cost of doing business and has an effect on the margin. Surprisingly, as I said, New Zealand was very, very good. It was up 59 basis points with EBIT margin widening to 5.3% on a 16% increase in EBIT and only a 3% increase in sales. So that was a very, very pleasant surprise.

Q: Was there anything about the result that surprised you?

Warnes: Another surprise in the result was the good performance by the expanding liquor operations, driven by Dan Murphy clearly, and now including Cellarmasters for full year. But sales for the liquor operation were up 11.9% and the EBIT growth was higher than that, which obviously means it was a positive influence on the margin of the Australian food and liquor operations.

Again, pleasingly from that operation, the sales of the liquor group now accounts for 17.5% of Australian food and liquor, up from a 16.3%. That is a very, very positive influence on the overall operations of Australian Food and Liquor and that growth is expected to continue.

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