Buffett and Berkshire in 2022

--  |   27/04/2022 Text size  Decrease  Increase   |  
email_fwd
<p><strong>Susan Dziubinski:</strong>&nbsp;Hi, I'm Susan Dziubinski with Morningstar. Berkshire Hathaway's annual meeting is on Saturday. Joining me today to discuss some of Berkshire's recent moves, the firm's valuation, and questions he'd like to see answered during the meeting is Gregg Warren. Gregg is a senior analyst in Morningstar's Equity Research Group, specialising in asset managers. He is also Morningstar's analyst on Berkshire.</p> <p>Hi, Gregg. Nice to see you today.</p> <p><strong>Greggory Warren:&nbsp;</strong>Thanks for having me.</p> <p><strong>Dziubinski:&nbsp;</strong>Berkshire has had a pretty busy year by Berkshire standards in 2022, putting cash to work. Tell us a little bit about how much cash was on the books coming into the year, and if you were surprised by the activity we've seen so far.</p> <p><strong>Warren:&nbsp;</strong>Well, when we look at&nbsp;<span class="CMS__Document" title="1088970">Berkshire's cash availability</span>, we tend to think about the dry powder they have available to put in investments, into acquisitions, and into share repurchases. And by that measure, they had about $112 billion coming into 2022. Now, that varies from the $147 billion that was on the balance sheet. But Buffett always like to keep about a $30 billion backstop there for the reinsurance business and the insurance businesses. And we've got some operating cash and some funding for near-term CAPEX. So, overall, that works us back down to $112 billion figure.</p> <p>Now, as you said, they've been pretty busy this year. We've been a little bit surprised by that, especially with what they've bought. I mean, on the Occidental Petroleum&nbsp;<span class="CMS__Security" title="0P00000412">OXY</span>&nbsp;front, they put about $12 billion to work in shares spread out over the first quarter. That's interesting, because they have warrants to buy 84 million shares for just under $60 from OXY as a part of the investment they made a few years back, where they got $10 billion preferred stock in the company. At this point right now, I think they're sitting around about 17% of the company from an outstanding share perspective. So, it just seems a little bit odd. But again, I think they were, sort of, tapping into the rising oil prices, which are getting back up to where some expect might be more normalized levels.</p> <p>HP HP was interesting, little bit over $4 billion. Seemed a little odd to us--not really the kind of stock that Buffett would typically invest in. I mean, I know he has holdings in Apple&nbsp;<span class="CMS__Security" title="0P000000GY">AAPL</span>, but it seems to us to be a little bit more like IBM&nbsp;<span class="CMS__Security" title="0P000002RH">IBM</span>, where they bought the stock a few years back, the company had good free cash flows, company paid a good dividend. I think that might be some of it.</p> <p>The more interesting piece, though, was the Alleghany&nbsp;<span class="CMS__Security" title="0P00000091">Y</span>&nbsp;purchase, about $12 billion there. Pure Buffett. He'd met with management, he put a price down, and he told Alleghany to go out and see if they can get a better price. So, overall, we think it's a good deal. It's a good fit for Berkshire, reinsurance business, the specialty lines. Alleghany Capital is also a good part of that business, which kind of reminds us a little bit of sort of the MSR segment at Berkshire, the manufacturing, service, and retailing, and some of the capital-allocation stuff that Buffett does from corporate. So, a very interesting deal, and we feel it's a good lucrative deal for Berkshire to do.</p> <p><strong>Dziubinski:&nbsp;</strong>So, going back to OXY for a minute, how big is that position right now? And do you think that there's a chance that Berkshire will buy the whole company?</p> <p><strong>Warren:&nbsp;</strong>Yeah, at this point, like--I think I misspoke a little bit earlier. It's about a 15% stake. If they were to exercise the warrants, which is possible right now, because the stock is trading above $60, with the dilution that would come from that exercise, it would be about a 21% stake in the firm. This is a little bit contrary to what Berkshire and Buffett have liked to do in the past, where they were taking 5%, 10% equity stakes and rarely moving beyond that. I mean, yeah, Coke&nbsp;<span class="CMS__Security" title="0P000001BW">KO</span>&nbsp;is higher than that, American Express&nbsp;<span class="CMS__Security" title="0P000000CU">AXP</span>&nbsp;is higher than that, but a lot of that sort of legacy holdings, things they bought in the 70s and the 80s. So, from that perspective, it's just been attrition over time. And then, they did winnow down their bank holdings the past couple of years and put a lot more behind Bank of America&nbsp;<span class="CMS__Security" title="0P000000PA">BAC</span>, pushed it above that 10% threshold. But it's rare to see them step in somewhat that aggressively.</p> <p>And even though Buffett has had a poor track record of investing in energy or commodity-related securities, they've had a really good track record when it comes to buying companies outright. Berkshire Hathaway Energy is kind of a crown jewel within the portfolio overall. This is a slightly different business. But at the same time, it wouldn't surprise me if they were to go out and buy the firm. And I think based on what they've already got invested, they could do it for maybe another $40 billion. So, that would--they've plenty of cash on the books to do that.</p> <p><strong>Dziubinski:&nbsp;</strong>Let's probe a little bit more on Alleghany. What do you think of the purchase price there? What sort of value do you think this can add to Berkshire over time?</p> <p><strong>Warren:&nbsp;</strong>I thought the purchase price was pretty good. I mean, it ended up being about 1.26 times book. The stock has traded maybe $110-ish, historically, a little bit higher maybe, on average. So, there is a premium there. I think the key here for Berkshire--I mean, they had a 25-day go-shop clause built into the deal, basically gave Alleghany the opportunity to go out and solicit bids. And they did go out and do more than 30 solicitations with their advisors. But nobody came back to the table with a bid that was going to match what Berkshire was doing. They were paying all cash. I think the valuation is attractive. And when we really sort of dug through the results and ran what our expectations would be for the different businesses as well as the investment portfolio, we think it's a pretty good deal for Berkshire. With our current change in fair value, it accounted for, I think, $16,000 of the Class A share increase and about $11 of the Class B. So, a decent contribution overall.</p> <p>Overall, they've done a good job with those businesses. We're not really building in a whole lot of earned premium growth overall. Where we see the biggest opportunity for the underwriting side is on the expense side. I think being part of a larger organization that can sort of scale up some of these businesses and actually help improve their expense ratio, which would be good for them. Because reinsurance is at best a breakeven business. And the value you really get is from the investment portfolio. And that's where I think Berkshire can actually unlock a lot of additional value. If we look at the portfolio at Alleghany, it's been maybe 15%, 20% equities the past five years. Berkshire's portfolio is about 90%. So, they can sweep that--if they could just flip it on its head and do 75% equities, big incremental value-creator for them over time. I don't see any problem with regulators. The regulators have generally been OK with Berkshire investing heavily in equities because they have so much cash and additional fixed income on the books. So, overall, I think there's a big value-creator. And then, on the Alleghany Capital piece, taking a group that has historically been acquisitive and giving them access to the capital that Berkshire has available, we think that this could be one of those areas where we could finally start to see some bolt-on and additional acquisitions within the MSR segment where we feel it's been lacking in the past five, 10 years.</p> <p><strong>Dziubinski:&nbsp;</strong>You referred to a change in the fair value as a result of Alleghany. Talk a little bit about what affects these recent purchases and this activity in the first quarter has had on our fair value estimate. What do we think Berkshire is worth today?</p> <p><strong>Warren:&nbsp;</strong>Warren: Yeah. I mean, the&nbsp;<span class="CMS__Document" title="1088989">fair value</span>, like I said, we added $16,000 to the Class A shares and the total overall value increase was $25,000 on the Class As. So, the rest of it, the $9,000 there is coming from the investments in the equity securities, taking it from a cash pile and moving it into an actual investment part of the portfolio, but also sort of where values were on the security since the previous time we updated the fair value, because we had Apple, American Express, Bank of America actually increased in value for the time which we last updated the model overall. So, there's some contribution from that as well. So, that really helped. On an overall basis, we took the fair value from $525,000 on the Class As to $350 on the Class Bs to $550,000 and then $367 on the Class Bs overall. So, not a huge increase, but it is meaningful for a firm like Berkshire. I mean, the company of this size, getting that sort of benefit from what ended up being just sort of a handful of transactions.</p> <p><strong>Dziubinski:&nbsp;</strong>So, as we noted at the top of the video, this weekend, Berkshire is holding its annual meeting. It's the first time Berkshire is having an in-person meeting since the pandemic, and you're going. What do you expect to hear during this meeting?</p> <p><strong>Warren:&nbsp;</strong>Yeah, it will be interesting to see how the meeting goes, because prior to the COVID-19 outbreak, they had actually started to make some changes in how the meeting and the Q&amp;A segment in particular was going to take place. Prior to that, they had an analyst panel and a journalist panel. So, three journalists, three analysts. And then, questions would also come from shareholders, and they would sort of run the round robin through the course of the meeting.</p> <p>Now, prior to the 2020 meeting, Buffett had decided that he wanted to have Greg Abel, who is now as we know the next CEO, and Ajit Jain up there answering questions as well as him and Charlie. So, they changed the format for the staging and the intention was to still have the three journalists. But because of COVID-19 we kind of had to dial in for a couple of years there. I think Becky Quick is sort of now taking up the sole journalist position, asking questions. So, she's fielding questions from shareholders and other interested parties. And then we'll have shareholders at the meeting actually asking questions and then sort of rotating through that.</p> <p>As at any meeting, I always look for nuggets that might come out about the operating businesses, long-term strategies, competitive positioning, how they think about capital allocation--the things that we really sort of pressed on, the years that we were on the analyst panel, really tried to sort of get Buffett to give us some clarity on. I'm hopeful that that happens. I'm not crossing my fingers. But it'd be interesting to see what happens. I mean, I'm kind of curious to see how this meeting goes. When we look back, the reason that they actually brought the analysts in the first place and the journalists, too, was they felt like they weren't getting enough good questions about the businesses. And we're hopeful that we'll still keep getting a lot of good business-related questions that help us with our valuation and our understanding.</p> <p><strong>Dziubinski:&nbsp;</strong>Give me two or three questions that you'd like answered when you're there this weekend.</p> <p><strong>Warren:&nbsp;</strong>I mean, there's core operating issues that still kind of gnaw at me. And there's definitely some capital-allocation questions and definitely some questions, I think, related to Alleghany. But just like the core operating side, I've been on it for a long time about GEICO, and just why don't they have telematics. Why are they not committed to setting up a system that's going to allow them to underwrite better than they have been? Because we've started to really see sort of a spread in the performance between them and Progressive PGR, which is really their closest peer. Progressive has telematics.</p> <p>It's the same thing with the BNSF on the railroad side. They're the lone holdout on adopting precision-scheduled railroading. Their peers right now are expanding their operating ratios, are looking a lot better than BNSF. And what worries me in the long run with both companies is, you end up getting priced out of policies or priced out of volume, because your peers have margin that they can basically sort of turn back on you and use it to undercut you on price. So, I think that there's some real issues there that I think need to be answered, and they've never really given full, good, serious answers to. And I think, again, I feel it's the kind of question that need to be hammered again and again and again.</p> <p>On the capital-allocation front, I'd really be curious to see how they feel about cash reserves. Is that $30 billion now enough? With Alleghany in the portfolio, does it need to go to $40 billion, because Alleghany is predominantly reinsurance, which is a lot lumpier, a lot more volatile. You have big losses in any given period of time. Do we need to up that? And then, on the cash-management front, how do we think about--so far share repurchases, it really sort of helped them. It really helped them sort of whittle down the cash balances, keep them from getting above that $150 billion threshold that Buffett said he's not comfortable with. But it seems like this year, they might buy themselves some time with these investments they've done and with the deals that they've done. But if you think about HP, OXY, and Alleghany combined, that's less than the amount of free cash flow they're going to generate this year. So they have a cash problem. It just keeps building and building and building, unless they find effective ways to get it put to work.</p> <p><strong>Dziubinski:&nbsp;</strong>Do you see the share repurchases continuing? And do you think we're ever going to see a dividend from Berkshire?</p> <p><strong>Warren:&nbsp;</strong>Absolutely on the share repurchases; that's really their only legitimate outlet. When valuations are too high, and they can't invest in anything, it's the only way they can put money to work. And they've actually been slightly above what my run rate was for a while there. They were doing about $6 billion, $6.5 billion a quarter the past two years. My original estimation was about $5 billion to $7 billion. I've since increased that to about $6 billion to $8 billion a quarter that they could easily do. I think in periods when they have investment activities, probably be at the lower end of that, maybe even below that. But I think that, over time, the expectation should be they're going to do that kind of level of share purchase. That's about $25 billion a year, give or take, that we sort of build into our forecast.</p> <p>But we'll have to see. I mean, it is something that's palatable to Buffett. He will never pay a dividend. It will never happen as long as he is alive. I think part of that is because he is just dead set against it. He doesn't like to give away something and not get something in return. And I think the other thing is that I think he still wants to leave that as a tool for the next guys. Because they're going to have to have something to sort of placate longer-term investors to convince them to continue to stay with the firm, while they figure out how best to handle capital allocation over the long run.</p> <p><strong>Dziubinski:&nbsp;</strong>That's interesting. Let's talk a little bit specifically about&nbsp;<span class="CMS__Document" title="963821">Warren Buffett as an investor</span>. How would you in a couple of sentences really define his approach? And what are the things that really matter to him as an investor?</p> <p><strong>Warren:&nbsp;</strong>I think he looks at--we always think about the stock investments, but he at the end of the day would prefer to buy a company outright. He'd rather have the whole kit and caboodle. He doesn't want to--he doesn't really want to mess around with partial ownership, mainly, because there's a lot of reporting requirements and other things that go on, and just things that he is not comfortable with. Or he feels sometimes he is not getting a meaningful enough piece of the pie to have an impact on Berkshire overall. And if you think about, like, Apple--Apple is their single largest holding in the investment portfolio. It's 45% of the equities. It's only about 5% of Apple's stake, outstanding shares. So, there's a situation where they could put a ton of money to work and not have a big dent. Now, there's a lot of companies, if they were to put that amount of capital to work, it would be the whole company. So, it's kind of hard for them to do from that respect.</p> <p>But I think when he looks at companies, he's always trying to find any other investments or acquisitions that are going to be meaningful for them, companies that have a consistent track record of generating good results, good returns on equity, little to no debt, highly qualified management in place, and then a good reasonable price based on how they're looking at the business for them to sort of step into. And those types of investments he would prefer to buy and hold forever. Again, he likes to have the outright, but from the stock perspective, a few securities in the portfolio have been there for a very, very long time. We have seen things come and go over the years. So, he is not adverse to selling when conditions change, or when the contribution they're getting from that business no longer is what they had expected it to be in the past. Or a good interesting case in point, they had P&amp;G&nbsp;<span class="CMS__Security" title="0P000004GV">PG</span>&nbsp;for a very long time. It came out of the Gillette stake that they had acquired many years ago. And they actually swapped the stock for the Duracell business. So, they got a cash-flow-generating business, brought it in outright, and then they sold off a lot of the rest because they were trying to raise capital for Ted Weschler and Todd Combs to work with.</p> <p>So, I think from that perspective, there's opportunities for them to sort of take money off the table when the holding itself doesn't necessarily mean as much to them as it did in the past, or where it's not as integral, it's not as big of a piece. I mean, we saw that also with the bank companies. At one time, I think they had stakes in 10 different banks. They since sold off most of those and funneled the proceeds into Bank of America. They increased it above the 10% threshold, mainly because the Fed had changed their policies upon bank holding company reporting and everything else. It's made a big gray area beyond 10%, in that 10% to 20% realm where Buffett has actually been able to build the best stake and not have the Feds come in and require more them from a reporting perspective.</p> <p><strong>Dziubinski:&nbsp;</strong>So, given all that, what would you say are some few key takeaways or key principles that an individual stock investor, say, can take away from Warren Buffett and learn from Warren Buffett?</p> <p><strong>Warren:&nbsp;</strong>Just quick quirky comments over the years. I mean, I think the key one is, be greedy when others are fearful and fearful when others are greedy, is probably one of his more recent and more famous ones. I think basically stick to companies with sustainable competitive advantages, which is what we call economic moats. I think he is big on compounding, reinvesting your profits, keeping them and letting compounding do its work. As I said earlier, little to no debt is basically your friend. Just a lot of little things that seems simple, but they've actually helped them sort of build what they have over the years. And the thing is, Buffett, if anything, they've really stuck to their discipline. And I think we saw this with the Alleghany deal more recently.</p> <p>I think one of my biggest complaints about Berkshire over the years is that they have this very strict investment discipline where they put the bid on the table, they won't do any auctions, they won't engage in bidding wars, they won't come back with the second offer. And that's great if nobody else can top your bid. But Buffett always likes a deal. And we've kind of made the point that lack of a dividend and the lack of share repurchase for many, many years allowed so much cash to build up on the balance sheet. But it also works. It keeps them from overpaying for things. It keeps them from getting into a bidding war, where they end up not getting the same sort of return they're expecting in the first place. And right now, there's so much capital out there, especially private capital, that's bidding for assets, that it doesn't make any sense to get into bidding wars, especially with valuations where they are. So I think from that perspective, he's been very good and very consistent. I'd still like to see some wiggle room longer-term; I&rsquo;ll talk to Greg Abel and see what he thinks about that. But I think there's opportunities definitely where you can, sort of, step in and tweak the deal a little bit and still be true to your discipline.</p> <p><strong>Dziubinski:&nbsp;</strong>Gregg, thank you so much for your time today and your insights. I know you've been following Berkshire for a long time. I hope you get your questions answered at the meeting this coming weekend. And I look forward to reading your recap after you've been there. We appreciate your time.</p> <p><strong>Warren:&nbsp;</strong>Thanks for having me.</p> <p><strong>Dziubinski:&nbsp;</strong>I'm Susan Dziubinski with Morningstar. Thanks for tuning in.</p> <p>Read more:&nbsp;<span class="CMS__Document" title="963821">How to Invest Like Warren Buffett</span></p> <p><span class="CMS__Document" title="963821">&nbsp;</span></p>

Video Archive...

Why are Coles, Woolworths and JB Hi-Fi tanking? Morningstar explains
19/05/2022  Local investors were spooked after US retail giants Target and Walmart plummeted overnight as rising prices hit margins and inventory.
Dan Kemp's best tip for successful long-term investing: Beware market narratives
19/05/2022  On his recent visit to Australia, Morningstar's global chief investment officer Dan Kemp talks investing narratives, confronting the growing list of reasons to be concerned about markets and sustainable investing.
What's driving the latest big drop in US stocks?
19/05/2022  Worries about inflation’s toll on earnings sparks Wednesday’s 4% plunge, but stocks are now far undervalued.
Value strikes back: How to manage style in your portfolio
18/05/2022  One of the big themes of the year has been the value comeback. What is behind this resurgence after a pretty dismal period, and should your portfolio be tilting in its direction?
Is it time to recession-proof your portfolio?
11/05/2022  Here's what investors who are worried about a recession should consider today.
Morningstar Best Ideas List: An undervalued play in telecom
11/05/2022  Morningstar analysts have identified TPG telecom as the most undervalued telecom stocks in the ASX 200 detailing multiple catalysts for earnings recovery and growth.
Bill Browder: A scared Putin will only escalate the conflict
29/04/2022  Exclusive: Hermitage Capital Management CEO Bill Browder talks Putin, Russia, and the next six months for Ukraine
5 risks facing the US market right now
28/04/2022  Inflation, rising interest rates, geopolitical risks, and other things to keep your eye on.
Buffett and Berkshire in 2022
27/04/2022  Morningstar's analyst talks about the Buffett's recent deals, what the stock is worth, and whether Berkshire will pay a dividend any time soon.
Fair value upgrades on the table: Morningstar resources update
31/03/2022  Supply disruptions following Russia's invasion of Ukraine are forcing analysts to consider the possibility elevated prices persist.
Bank outperformance speaks to positive trajectory: Morningstar
30/03/2022  Rising interest rates, strong economic growth and cheaper valuations are driving banking stocks ahead of the broader market.
Stock vs stock: Netflix and Disney
28/03/2022  Where are entertainment and streaming services headed?
Morningstar Best Ideas List: WiseTech looks cheap after tech selloff
24/03/2022  Problems in global supply chains are an opportunity for WiseTech as its logistics company customers move to replace old software.
First fires, then floods: How listed insurers are weathering extreme events
23/03/2022  Markets focused on floods and bushfires are missing how insurers are cutting costs, doing more digitally and are looking down the barrel of a lift in investment income.
Don't get 'whipsawed' by false promises of peace in Europe
17/03/2022  Morningstar Investment Management's global CIO Dan Kemp explains why well-intentioned investors desperate for peace in Europe are making dangerous market calls
Morningstar Best Ideas List: Kogan to hold own in faceoff with Amazon
15/03/2022  Knowledge of the local market, strong branding and a growing subscription service should see the undervalued retailer retain market share in the rapidly growing online sales category, says Roy Van Keulen.
"There's been a big rotation in markets": Value surges as growth stumbles
08/03/2022  Higher inflation, rising interest rates and booming commodity markets are driving a major rotation away from the post-pandemic winners, says Tim Murphy, Morningstar director of manager selection.
Afterpay's rivals set for battle with rates and regulators
03/03/2022  Regulators are likely to be less lenient now the buy-now-pay-later sector is part of the fabric of Australian payments.
Industry champions on the cheap: Emerging markets at the Morningstar Investment Conference
23/02/2022  Strong commodity prices, cheap valuations and a head start on interest rate hikes means emerging markets are set for strength, says Dr. Joseph Lai of Ox Capital.
The Russia crisis is heating up, but you need to stay cool
23/02/2022  A belligerent speech from a president signalled the start of the latest phase of Russian agression last night, causing markets to wobble and investors to wonder.
Peter Warnes on FAANGs, investing in Asia and bond market smoke signals
15/02/2022  In an extended interview, Morningstar's Peter Warnes discusses the bear market in US technology stocks, interest rates and growth and his approach to investing outside the US and Australia.
Weighing up Magellan Financial Group after Douglass surprise exit
13/02/2022  Morningstar equity analyst Shaun Ler explains why he see valuation upside high for MFG even as shares lose steam.
Year of the Tiger: What's next for Chinese stocks
31/01/2022  The Chinese lunar year is almost over, and what a ride it's been. Morningstar speaks to JPMorgan Asset Management strategist Mike Bell about what's ahead. 
What to do (and not do) in a volatile market
23/01/2022  Christine Benz discusses how investors should handle the turmoil, whatever the life stage.
Bare shelves only a short-term hit to Coles and Woolies
18/01/2022  Empty shelves will negatively impact supermarkets in the second half of fiscal 2022 but the impact on long-term earnings is minimal, says Morningstar analyst Johannes Faul. 
Morningstar's outlook for 2022
17/01/2022  Bank earnings, house prices and China risk: Our experts and analysts discuss what they've got their eyes on in 2022.
Morningstar's Year in Review 2021
24/12/2021  Our experts and analysts weigh in on what mattered for investors last year.
"A bump in the road" as Magellan loses major client
21/12/2021  New products, lower fees and a portfolio of undervalued stocks set to help the fund manager right the ship. 
What role should Bitcoin play in your portfolio?
10/12/2021  And how does it match up against gold?
Years of demand remain for Australian coal producers
10/12/2021  Australian miners to be among the last standing as coal use fades.
Year-end portfolio rebalancing: What you need to know
08/12/2021  Rebalancing your portfolio is one of those beneficial habits that’s easy to let slide. But year-end is an ideal time to check how your portfolio is tracking against your target asset allocation. 
3 quality names from Stewart Investors
03/12/2021  The gold-rated fund manager shares three ideas with long-term potential.
Silver linings for investors amid the climate stalemate: COP26 debrief
01/12/2021  Long-term investor sees opportunities where businesses are moving towards a zero-carbon future faster than governments.
6 qualities of great index funds
30/11/2021  To understand your fund, get to know its underlying index.
Lazard's 3 top picks for the energy transition
29/11/2021  These companies are set to profit from the move to clean energy, says Lazard.
An uneven energy transition leaves room for coal and gas: COP26 debrief
24/11/2021  The results of the COP26 climate summit suggest coal demand is likely to persist for longer than expected.
What rising inflation means for Australian investors
17/11/2021  And how investors can protect their portfolios.
6 inflation-tough stocks for global investors
08/11/2021  Morningstar thinks these moaty companies will remain resilient in the face of inflation and ongoing supply chain challenges.
Risk/reward equation still looks good at Westpac
05/11/2021  Morningstar maintains fair value despite a fall in margins and slower progress on cost reductions.
These aren't the Bitcoin ETFs you're looking for
19/10/2021  These new US-listed exchange-traded funds will invest in bitcoin futures, not bitcoin itself.
ESG funds don't underperform - but nor do they outperform
15/10/2021  The ESG outperformance narrative is flawed, new research shows.
Building investment portfolios in a low interest rate environment
06/10/2021  Investors may need to hold more growth assets over the coming years, says Morningstar's Jody Fitzgerald.
Covid impacts still being felt in real estate and tech: Reporting season roundup
01/10/2021  And how G8 Education and Link Administration are positioned for long-term success.
Look to Credit Corp for a leading indicator of economic health: Reporting season roundup
30/09/2021  What Reporting Season August 2021 told investors about the health of the financials sector.
Cause for optimism at a2 Milk and Invocare: Reporting season roundup
28/09/2021  a2 milk is an opportunity to be greedy when others are fearful.
Post-covid normalisation is underway in healthcare: Reporting season roundup
23/09/2021  Covid's winners and losers are returning to their prior trajectories. 
One of the most underappreciated dangers of investing
21/09/2021  Sequence-of-returns risk matters for both retirees and savers. Here's why. 
REITs recover pandemic losses: Reporting season roundup
20/09/2021  Analysts expect the sector to recover to pre-Covid trading levels once borders reopen.
Australian banks face margin pressure amid low rates: Reporting season roundup
15/09/2021  Rising customer deposits and access to cheap funding helped Australia's banks stave off net interest margin pressure, but analysts see warning signs.
Greenwashing explained
14/09/2021  Morningstar's Hortense Bioy on how to spot greenwashing and how to avoid it.
Earnings down as private money circles infrastructure: Reporting season roundup
13/09/2021  Utilities and infrastructure names battle the impact of covid as private equity and pension funds circle. 
Frenzy of mergers in energy: Reporting season roundup
10/09/2021  Hydrocarbons poised for a comeback.
TPG tipped to recover as mobile competition eases: Reporting season roundup
09/09/2021  Providers have lifted prices after years of a debilitating chase for subscribers at all costs , says Morningstar's Brian Han.
Short-sellers bet against ARK Innovation ETF
08/09/2021  What shorting ETFs means for long-term investors.
Surging lumber prices were no match for Brambles: Reporting season roundup
07/09/2021  Morningstar senior analyst Grant Slade says Brambles secular growth trend is intact despite nearterm headwinds. He discusses results from the building and construction materials sector.
Miners soar thanks to iron ore: Reporting season roundup
03/09/2021  Miners bask in the glow of iron ore prices while bargains remain in coal.
BHP-Woodside merger is mutually beneficial
23/08/2021  Post-merger Woodside would be well positioned to deliver on the value we've seen for a long time, say Morningstar analysts.
Investors are getting serious about sustainability
16/08/2021  But the sector lacks uniformity, says Morningstar's Christopher Franz. 
Long term outlook for AGL is positive
11/08/2021  Higher wholesale electricity prices bode well for AGL, according to Morningstar senior equities analyst Adrian Atkins.
How you can hedge your portfolio against inflation
11/08/2021  Morningstar FundInvestor editor Russ Kinnel describes some direct and indirect hedges for inflation protection.
The iron ore party can't last: Morningstar
10/08/2021  Copper and iron ore have benefited materially from China’s stimulus and the developed world recovery. But Morningstar analyst Mat Hodge see these benefit as transitory.
What the Afterpay acquisition means for investors: Morningstar Minute
05/08/2021  We believe the transaction has a high chance of succeeding.
Cannabis' federal legal status is not a total buzzkill
03/08/2021  The industry still has significant growth potential.
Stock of the week: Toyota
03/08/2021  Is one of the biggest sponsors of the Olympics positioned for an all-electric future?
2 listed microcap names to consider
23/07/2021  Morningstar's Lex Hall talks micro-cap stock picks with Carlos Gil, chief investment officer at Microequities Asset Management.
Big returns, big risks: Making money with microcaps
22/07/2021  Mornngstar's Lex Hall catches up with Carlos Gil, chief investment officer at Microequities Asset Management.
3 small-caps with Dawn Kanelleas
21/07/2021  The head of Australian small and mid-cap stocks at First Sentier Investors has her eye on ARB, Breville and IDP Education.
Forecast 2021–2022: A correction could be around the corner
20/07/2021  The strong performances of global stock markets in 2020–21 are unlikely to be repeated in the coming year says Morningstar's Peter Warnes.
'Overvalued' warnings grow as ASX 200 hits new high
12/07/2021  Morningstar equity analysts warn that equities remain overvalued despite Australia's strong economic recovery.
What to know about private equity
08/07/2021  Private equity is an exciting area for investors, with lots of hotly-tipped stocks. But there are risks to be aware of, says Pitchbook analyst Dylan Cox.
Lazard's 3 top picks for the global covid recovery
08/07/2021  Warryn Robertson is looking at French infrastructure, retail pharmacy and tax services.
Aussie banks $34bn surplus points to more shareholder dividends, buybacks
06/07/2021  Australia's largest banks have excess capital because they cut dividends, were more conservative on lending, divested assets and raised equity last year. Morningstar's Nathan Zaia thinks most of it should be returned to shareholders.
Weighing up the PEXA IPO
02/07/2021  PEXA burst onto the ASX this week in the biggest float since 2019. Morningstar's Gareth James gives his take on the company's future growth prospects.
Can the iron ore price keep rising?
30/06/2021  Iron ore prices have  been on a tear, boosting the profits of Australia's top miners.  How did we get here and is the only way up? Lex Hall sits down with Morningstar's Mat Hodge.
2 new stocks to watch
28/06/2021  Morningstar has recently initiated coverage of a food delivery app and a consumer finance product. 
'Strongest earnings season I've ever seen'
24/06/2021  Meeting the deluge of demand is the biggest task for US companies, says Bell Asset Management's Ned Bell.
Biotech beyond covid
22/06/2021  Are there still opportunities in the biotech sector now the covid-19 vaccine roll out is underway? We ask International Biotechnology Trust manager Ailsa Craig
Alibaba is still deeply undervalued
21/06/2021  Morningstar's director of Asia equity research is confident the e-commerce giant will bounce back.
Weighing up the Endeavour IPO
18/06/2021  A wide moat and attractive dividend potential are among the key takeaways of Woolworth's decision to demerge from the liquor and hospitality group.
'Then we got hit with the equivalent of a war'
15/06/2021  Lazard Asset Management's Warryn Robertson explains how companies in the Global Equity Franchise fund have adjusted to covid, and assesses the threat of rising inflation.
Understanding Magellan's active ETF strategy
11/06/2021  Magellan's Craig Wright tells Emma Rapaport why it is leading the charge in the active ETF arena and how its global equity product works.
3 off-the-radar small caps
10/06/2021  Callum Burns of ICE Investors explains his conviction in pharmaceutical distributor Ebos, PSC Insurance Group, and elite sports analytics provider Catapult.
Small cap gems and how to find them
09/06/2021  Callum Burns explains how ICE Investors identifies companies with original products and sticky customer bases.
Stock of the Week: Salesforce.com
08/06/2021  They’re building an empire.
3 oil stocks we still like
07/06/2021  A year ago the oil price went negative. How have oil giants handled the past 12 months and what's the outlook from here? Morningstar analyst Allen Good explains.
Considering crypto? Here's what to think about
04/06/2021  As the investment world goes crazy for crypto, Morningstar Investment Management's Dan Kemp explains what to consider before putting it in your portfolio
Why we like Wizz Air
03/06/2021  The airline sector is set to recover as international travel resumes. Morningstar analysts think Wizz Air offer the best opportunity among low-cost carriers.
3 global infrastructure picks
28/05/2021  4D Infrastructure's Sarah Shaw outlines the investment case for Spanish multinationals Cellnex, and Iberdrola, and the potential of Mexican airports.
Are crypto ETFs coming?
28/05/2021  The SEC continues to sort out its regulatory concerns.
Stock of the Week: Apple
27/05/2021  We’re raising our fair value as sales hit new highs—but investors need to put it in perspective, says Andrew Willis.
Opportunities in global infrastructure
25/05/2021  Covid-19 has enhanced rather than impeded the future for global infrastructure, says Sarah Shaw of 4D Infrastructure.
Tribeca's eye for Domain
24/05/2021  Tribeca's Jun Bei Liu also explains why she sees opportunity in sleep apnea specialist ResMed as well as Treasury Wine Estates.
Stocks for emerging markets
19/05/2021  American Century Investment's Patricia Ribeiro sees growth in Chinese battery technology, biologics, and building materials in Latin America.
2 stocks for the rise of the robots
18/05/2021  Robotics is a fast-growing area of tech, creating opportunities in medical, logistics and life sciences sectors and much more.
Square: Stock of the week
18/05/2021  Square's Bitcoin purchase is more marketing than operations
Tesla: Stock of the week
10/05/2021  If Elon Musk ends up delivering, we might need to raise our fair value to US$1500 a share.
Why Tribeca's so upbeat on stocks
07/05/2021  Banks and resources are poised to deliver dividends, and Treasury Wine Estates and BNPL are worth a look, says Jun Bei Liu of Tribeca's Alpha Plus long/short fund.
Looking for value in emerging markets
05/05/2021  Digital banking, ecommerce and 5G are among the key trends set for rapid growth, says Patricia Ribeiro of American Century Investments.
Cash slashed, Aussie equities up: Why Morningstar updates Model ETF portfolios
04/05/2021  Analysts have made changes to the fixed interest, property, cash and equity allocations of Morningstar's Model ETF Portfolios to take advantage of the current market environment. They've also refreshed some of the funds in the portfolio.
Investing basics: Explaining the disconnect between the stock market and the economy
30/04/2021  The stock market and the economy are not the same. Here's why.