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US ECONOMY News & Analysis

Fed's Powell signals a possible rate hike ‘skip,’ not a pause
Markets
Fed's Powell signals a possible rate hike ‘skip,’ not a pause
But with inflation likely to ease as the economy slows, we see the Fed cutting rates around the year end.
Preston Caldwell | 14 June 2023
Should investors worry about the US debt-ceiling drama?
Markets
Should investors worry about the US debt-ceiling drama?
US President Joe Biden has postponed his trip to Australia over as the debt ceiling deadlines draw nearer. But what is it, and why does it...
Danny Noonan | 16 May 2023
Jamie Dimon on move from virtuous to vicious cycle
Markets
Jamie Dimon on move from virtuous to vicious cycle
Jamie Dimon of JP Morgan is the most powerful commercial banker in the world. He warns that while the current economy looks fine, the storm clouds...
Graham Hand | 13 April 2023
US inflation still too hot for the Fed
Markets
US inflation still too hot for the Fed
The US Federal Reserve is still likely to raise rates in May despite the lowest inflation reading in two years.
Lauren Solberg | 12 April 2023
Why the US Fed could cut rates later this year
Markets
Why the US Fed could cut rates later this year
Morningstar's Preston Caldwell maps out four potential near-term scenarios for the US economy.
Preston Caldwell | 02 March 2023
Hot US jobs data means Fed has further to go
Markets
Hot US jobs data means Fed has further to go
Jobs growth in the US has continued to strengthen despite recession fears.
Lauren Solberg | 05 February 2023
Should investors be worried about the US debt ceiling?
Markets
Should investors be worried about the US debt ceiling?
A default on US government debt isn’t likely, but should one happen, here’s what the damage could look like.  
Preston Caldwell | 29 January 2023
US stock market outlook for 2023
Markets
US stock market outlook for 2023
As the saying goes; when Wall Street sneezes, the world catches a cold. And the US is set up for near-term turbulence - but there are clearer skies...
Dave Sekera, CFA | 04 January 2023
Fed raises rates again, with a focus on talking tough
Markets
Fed raises rates again, with a focus on talking tough
Powell stays hawkish on the inflation fight, but the markets are looking for a less restrictive Fed next year.
Preston Caldwell | 14 December 2022
Too early to celebrate, but US CPI report gives Fed breathing room
Markets
Too early to celebrate, but US CPI report gives Fed breathing room
Goods prices slide into deflation, but services show continued upward pressure.
Lauren Solberg | 13 December 2022