Learn To Invest
Stocks Special Reports LICs Credit Funds ETFs Tools SMSFs
Video Archive Article Archive
News Stocks Special Reports Funds ETFs Features SMSFs Learn
About

News

Is value investing back for good?

Susan Dziubinski  |  26 Mar 2021Text size  Decrease  Increase  |  
Email to Friend

After lagging growth stocks by significant margins for several years, value strategies are in the middle of a comeback. But is that comeback here to stay? Joining me today to discuss the topic is Russ Kinnel. Russ is Morningstar's director of manager research and editor of Morningstar FundInvestor.

Susan Dziubinski: When did the tide start to turn for value strategies, and what drove that change?

Russ Kinnel: At first, it was kind of subtle because it started in September when the market was selling off. And so, at first, value was simply losing less than growth, and we saw that again in October. And then in November, the rally really kicked in, and value outperformed on the upside, and it's been doing that ever since.

MORE ON THIS TOPIC: Value investing: A deep dive into performance

Dziubinski: What sort of outperformance are we really talking about here, of value over growth? And is market capitalisation playing any role?

Kinnel: Small caps have done much better than large caps. Really dramatically so. Really the whole rally is driven by a stronger-than-expected economic recovery, partly based on vaccines, partly on stimulus. Small caps tend to be more economically sensitive. Value tends to be more so. So, small caps have done better, value's done much better than growth. For instance, if we go from September through the middle of March, large value has gained about 24 per cent versus 8 per cent for large growth. In small caps, value has won about 51 per cent versus 32 per cent from that same September-March time frame.

Market Return 10-Yr (Annual) | Small Value, Large Value, Small Growth, Large Growth

Investing Compass
Listen to Morningstar Australia's Investing Compass podcast
Take a deep dive into investing concepts, with practical explanations to help you invest confidently.
Investing Compass

Source: Morningstar

Dziubinski: Are there any particular value funds that have done say surprisingly well, during this period, and what's been driving their performance?

Kinnel: I mean, especially if you look from somewhere close toward the bottom, it's really remarkable. Royce Opportunity is a fund that, believe it or not, is up 150 per cent for the trailing one year through March 15. Dodge & Cox Stock is up 69 per cent, which is also very good for a large-value fund. One theme to both of them is they both tend to have more tech than the typical value fund, but also they have a lot of financials and other economically sensitive stocks that have really done well. Some of the funds that might have looked like dogs a few months ago, now they look like champs, and it really underscores just how these corrections can be violent, but so can the rebound.

Dziubinski: The million-dollar question here, Russ: Do you really think value strategies are going to be able to maintain this momentum and continue these winning ways?

Kinnel: It's always a hard call, so I wouldn't bet my house on it. But if you look, value is still behind growth if you go back to, say, the beginning of February 2020 when COVID was starting to hit the world. And then obviously if you go back further--trailing three, five, and 10 years--growth is still ahead of value. That would seem to imply that value could have more to run, and certainly in market history, generally, that's the way it works. You have one, you tend to overdo it. So, we overdid the growth rally, maybe we'll overdo the value rally now.

is director of content for Morningstar.com.

© 2021 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved. Neither Morningstar, its affiliates, nor the content providers guarantee the data or content contained herein to be accurate, complete or timely nor will they have any liability for its use or distribution. This information is to be used for personal, non-commercial purposes only. No reproduction is permitted without the prior written consent of Morningstar. Any general advice or 'regulated financial advice' under New Zealand law has been prepared by Morningstar Australasia Pty Ltd (ABN: 95 090 665 544, AFSL: 240892), or its Authorised Representatives, and/or Morningstar Research Ltd, subsidiaries of Morningstar, Inc, without reference to your objectives, financial situation or needs. For more information, refer to our Financial Services Guide (AU) and Financial Advice Provider Disclosure Statement (NZ). Our publications, ratings and products should be viewed as an additional investment resource, not as your sole source of information. Morningstar’s full research reports are the source of any Morningstar Ratings and are available from Morningstar or your adviser. Past performance does not necessarily indicate a financial product's future performance. To obtain advice tailored to your situation, contact a licensed financial adviser. Some material is copyright and published under licence from ASX Operations Pty Ltd ACN 004 523 782. The article is current as at date of publication.

Email To Friend