Morningstar Investor users sign in here.

Personal Finance

What’s the difference between risk tolerance and risk capacity?

Aligning these concepts can help you make better portfolio decisions.


A 23-year-old starts a new job. She remembers her parents griping and worrying about their stock investments during the global financial crisis, and knows she too would feel terrible if she saw her hard-earned investing dollars go down in value. She decides to steer her superannuation contributions to a conservative fund.

Meanwhile, a couple of 30-somethings with a second baby on the way are saving toward a down payment for a home that they hope to buy when the lease on their one-bedroom place is up at the end of this year. They have seen their superannuation balances rebound nicely since the coronavirus pandemic, so they feel comfortable in their ability to tolerate future downturns. They put their down payment money in a global-stock fund, which seems to offer both diversification and the growth potential they seek.

You can probably spot the problems in both of these examples.

The 23-year-old has a long time horizon, and in turn a high risk capacity. Her investments can go up, down, and sideways in the months and years to come, but that won’t really matter until 40 years from now, when she’s ready to pull her money out. But she’s letting her low risk tolerance—essentially, her comfort level with short-term volatility—dictate her decision-making.

Meanwhile, the prospective homebuyers are doing essentially the same thing—albeit in the opposite direction. They know their ability to cope with short-term fluctuations is good; they’ve even stress-tested it. Yet their risk capacity for their down-payment nest egg—the ability to withstand those fluctuations without having to change their plans—is actually pretty low.

True, stocks have positive gains 90% of the time during rolling 10-year periods, meaning that it’s completely logical for them to have a high risk tolerance for their retirement assets. But stocks tend to lose money about one fourth of the time over rolling 12-month periods—unattractive odds, given that their time horizon is also 12 months. Their risk capacity for their down-payment fund is low, because losses in their principal over their short holding period would force them to derail their plans.

Risk tolerance, hop in the back seat


Such disconnects are pretty common, and it’s no wonder, given that investors are often taught to focus on risk tolerance. When filling out online questionnaires, prospective investors are often asked whether a one-day loss of 10% would disrupt their sleep patterns or cause them to feel anxious. In turn, they’re supposed to use that knowledge to inform their portfolio positioning.

Meanwhile, crucial questions that help draw some parameters around risk capacity—homing in on financial goals and time horizons for them—are often drowned out, or not asked at all. That helps explain why investors often build portfolios that are too aggressively positioned—or too meekly—for what they’re trying to achieve.

An assessment of risk capacity, and constructing a portfolio whose securities are a good fit for one’s time horizon, are jobs 1 and 2 of the portfolio-building process.

An assessment of risk tolerance, meanwhile, is in the category of “nice to have.”

That’s not to suggest that assessing one’s own risk tolerance is a useless exercise. If investors craft investment plans that are appropriate for their risk capacity/time horizon but make them anxious, there’s a risk they’ll capture the worst of all worlds by making changes at the wrong times. Investors with overly aggressive portfolios are apt to switch to a more-conservative mix when their holdings are down, while those with overly conservative portfolios may be enticed to swap into a more-assertive positioning after a strong run in aggressive-growth stocks has already happened.

What can you do if you have a mismatch?


So how should investors attempt to mend fences if their risk tolerance is fighting with their risk capacity? A couple of ideas come to mind.

Employing hybrid-type funds as core holdings is one way to help heal the divide, especially for investors with a high risk capacity but below-average risk tolerance. Such investors might seek out investments that are composed primarily of stocks, but hold smaller positions in more-conservative securities that help tamp down volatility.

Low risk-tolerance/high risk-capacity investors can also address the disconnect by employing valuation-conscious active stock-fund managers with a good track record of downside protection.

Finally, practicing good portfolio hygiene—building new positions gradually and employing disciplined rebalancing—is another way that risk-averse investors can take the edge off a portfolio that’s appropriate for their time horizon.

Meanwhile, investors with lower risk capacities but high risk tolerances have fewer tools at their disposal, but they do have some.

For investors who are funding goals that are close at hand—which is by definition what investors with low risk capacities are doing—it can be helpful to segment the portfolio by time horizon, as is the case with the bucket strategy. In that way, investors can see how much they must earmark in short-term securities to fund near-term goals and how much they can safely invest in stocks and other higher-returning but more-volatile assets.



© 2023 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved. Neither Morningstar, its affiliates, nor the content providers guarantee the data or content contained herein to be accurate, complete or timely nor will they have any liability for its use or distribution. This report has been prepared for clients of Morningstar Australasia Pty Ltd (ABN: 95 090 665 544, AFSL: 240892) and/or New Zealand wholesale clients of Morningstar Research Ltd, subsidiaries of Morningstar, Inc. Any general advice has been provided without reference to your financial objectives, situation or needs. For more information refer to our Financial Services Guide at www.morningstar.com.au/s/fsg.pdf. You should consider the advice in light of these matters and if applicable, the relevant Product Disclosure Statement before making any decision to invest. Our publications, ratings and products should be viewed as an additional investment resource, not as your sole source of information. Morningstar’s full research reports are the source of any Morningstar Ratings and are available from Morningstar or your adviser. Past performance does not necessarily indicate a financial product’s future performance. To obtain advice tailored to your situation, contact a financial adviser. Some material is copyright and published under licence from ASX Operations Pty Ltd ACN 004 523 782.

More from Morningstar

Does buying a house stack up financially?
Personal Finance

Does buying a house stack up financially?

Buying a house offers stability and a sense of community. But are you buying for these reasons? Or could your money work harder in other ways? 
Two proven ways to make big money in markets
Personal Finance

Two proven ways to make big money in markets

Many ASX success stories – like JB Hi-Fi, Lovisa, and AUB – have followed one of two strategies: rolling out single store formats...
Mark LaMonica's summer reading list
Personal Finance

Mark LaMonica's summer reading list

His favourite investing books.
The wisdom of Charlie Munger
Personal Finance

The wisdom of Charlie Munger

5 Munger quotes to make you a better investor.
Should I lever up?
Personal Finance

Should I lever up?

The role of borrowing in an investment portfolio, and products that offer it.
An 8% retirement withdrawal rate?
Personal Finance

An 8% retirement withdrawal rate?

A radio host advocates no small plans.